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Louisiana election odds — Senate, House, and governor race predictions

U.S. Midterms 2026

Senate, House, and governor races

426 races
227Dem
10 tossup
435 districts· 218 to control
Rep198
201
15
11
10
13
33
152

Odds breakdown — scroll for more →

highlighted = projected flip

Safe D (193)
CA-26
5
NM-02
91-11
NH-01
90-10
NY-03
92-11
CA-45
92-11
MD-06
93-10
MI-08
93-9
CA-01
92-8
MN-02
94-10
CA-13
90-5
VA-07
90-5
NE-02
94-9
MI-03
94-8
NY-05
93-7
FL-23
96-10
CA-21
94-8
NH-02
95-9
CA-27
94-7
AZ-04
95-9
MD-05
92-5
NY-04
92-5
OR-01
91-4
NY-18
95-8
NV-01
94-6
PA-17
92-4
NV-04
94-7
NM-01
98-10
RI-02
96-8
IL-01
94-5
CA-46
98-9
SC-06
93-4
AZ-07
95-7
GA-02
96-7
MO-05
94-6
WA-08
94-6
NJ-05
94-5
IL-09
95-6
CO-02
97-8
KS-03
98-9
TX-29
95-6
NY-06
94-5
NY-14
98-8
NJ-12
96-6
OH-13
95-5
NY-22
95-5
NJ-09
94-5
CA-33
94-4
FL-20
97-7
NC-12
95-5
CA-09
92-2
PA-04
94-4
NY-19
96-6
HI-02
97-7
ME-01
94-3
TX-37
92-1
IL-13
98-7
NY-08
95-4
NY-25
96-5
OR-05
96-5
CA-18
95-4
CA-47
94-3
CA-50
95-3
MD-04
92-0
CA-03
96-4
CA-36
93-1
WA-09
97-5
CA-43
98-6
IL-17
95-3
NY-09
95-3
NY-15
95-3
GA-05
96-4
IL-11
93-1
MS-02
95-3
CA-30
98-6
CT-02
96-4
IL-03
98-5
VA-08
95-2
VA-04
96-3
VA-10
97-4
CA-15
98-5
NM-03
95-2
GA-04
98-5
MD-03
98-5
TX-07
96-3
NY-26
98-5
CA-31
96-3
IL-02
97-4
CA-39
98-5
MA-04
98-4
IN-07
98-4
MI-11
97-3
VT-01
97-3
CA-10
96-2
IL-05
97-3
TX-20
98-4
MA-09
98-4
MD-02
98-4
NJ-11
94-0
IL-06
99-5
CA-49
96-2
CT-05
95-1
HI-01
97-3
IN-01
95-1
MI-06
98-4
MN-04
96-2
NV-03
97-3
NY-10
99-5
NY-13
98-4
PA-06
99-5
WI-02
95-1
CA-35
98-3
IL-10
97-3
MD-07
100-6
WA-06
98-4
CA-42
98-4
GA-13
98-4
NJ-06
97-2
CA-41
97-2
CA-51
98-3
DE-01
95-0
NY-12
99-4
CA-32
97-3
NC-02
97-2
CA-17
99-4
CT-03
96-2
CO-01
98-3
IL-04
97-2
NY-16
98-3
MA-08
100-5
OH-03
99-4
OR-04
97-2
CT-01
98-3
NJ-01
98-3
MN-05
99-3
OR-06
97-2
CO-06
97-1
NJ-03
98-3
CA-28
97-1
FL-24
97-1
MO-01
99-4
NJ-08
96-1
WA-07
98-2
MA-01
98-2
FL-10
98-2
NJ-10
100-4
NC-04
100-4
CO-07
97-1
CT-04
99-4
UT-01
98-2
CA-06
97-1
CA-08
98-2
CA-38
98-2
KY-03
98-2
NY-20
98-2
PA-12
98-2
AL-07
98-2
CA-25
98-2
IL-14
98-2
CA-44
97-1
TX-16
98-1
MA-05
97-0
CA-24
98-1
RI-01
99-3
WA-01
99-2
PA-02
100-3
TX-30
98-2
OR-03
100-3
WI-04
98-1
IL-07
98-0
PA-05
99-1
MA-02
98-0
NY-07
98-1
GA-06
98-0
MA-03
98-0
MN-03
99-1
LA-02
99-1
WA-10
99-1
WA-02
99-1
CA-16
100-2
AZ-03
99-1
VA-11
99-0
CA-19
100-1
MA-07
99-0
MI-13
99-0
PA-03
99-0
TX-33
99-0
CA-02
99-0
MA-06
100-1
VA-03
100-0
MD-08
100-0
TX-18
100-0
MI-12
100-0
OH-11
100-0
Likely D (15)
IA-03
75-27
TX-34
76-26
PA-10
77-25
NJ-07
78-25
OH-07
77-24
AZ-06
79-21
VA-02
82-23
CO-08
83-21
TX-28
81-18
OH-01
85-15
CA-52
79-5
CA-22
86-11
CA-48
88-10
WA-03
89-11
IL-08
88-5
Lean D (11)
NY-17
62-39
MI-10
65-40
FL-14
63-37
NC-11
63-36
PA-08
66-35
PA-07
70-31
AZ-01
72-32
FL-25
71-30
OH-09
70-29
WI-03
73-29
IA-01
74-27
Tossup (10)
MI-07
51-50
IA-02
55-49
MI-04
46-55
FL-22
45-56
ME-02
45-58
NC-01
59-43
TX-15
58-42
TX-35
58-42
VA-01
41-58
NE-01
12-50
Lean R (13)
PA-01
43-61
MO-02
36-64
MT-01
35-65
FL-09
35-66
WI-01
34-67
CO-03
34-68
FL-07
35-69
CO-05
32-70
CO-04
31-70
AL-02
28-68
TX-23
31-72
AZ-02
28-71
FL-13
28-73
Likely R (33)
KY-06
29-75
NY-01
27-75
SC-01
26-75
NV-02
23-77
NY-21
24-79
FL-27
21-79
NC-09
20-79
OH-15
19-79
MN-01
18-80
IN-05
16-83
FL-16
16-84
OH-10
16-84
FL-04
17-86
TX-32
18-87
WA-05
16-85
TX-09
18-88
AZ-08
17-88
AR-02
16-87
FL-11
12-84
NC-07
14-86
VA-05
16-88
TN-05
15-88
NY-02
13-87
NC-03
14-88
MN-08
12-89
NC-13
11-88
OK-04
10-88
OK-05
10-89
WI-08
10-89
AK-01
6-85
OH-08
9-89
FL-12
6-88
MN-06
6-89
Safe R (151)
NJ-02
14-90
AR-03
20-99
FL-05
11-90
NC-06
11-91
TN-09
11-91
NC-14
11-91
NC-05
9-90
NY-11
9-90
TX-22
12-93
TN-07
12-94
FL-26
9-91
GA-01
10-93
FL-21
9-92
IN-04
7-90
KS-02
7-90
FL-02
10-93
TN-08
7-90
GA-14
7-91
PA-16
8-92
AZ-05
9-93
FL-15
7-91
WI-06
8-92
SC-02
8-93
TX-24
6-91
VA-06
7-92
TX-10
6-92
MO-06
8-93
TX-12
4-90
FL-18
4-90
OH-14
8-94
SC-05
7-93
OK-01
7-93
FL-28
9-96
TX-27
6-92
NY-23
7-93
UT-03
4-91
MI-05
8-95
MI-01
7-94
IL-12
9-96
OH-05
9-96
FL-17
8-96
GA-11
8-96
TX-04
6-94
FL-03
7-95
LA-04
3-91
NC-08
4-93
UT-02
8-96
WA-04
4-93
ID-02
9-98
TX-03
5-94
KS-01
9-98
TX-31
6-95
IL-16
3-92
NY-24
6-95
TX-02
5-94
GA-12
3-92
WY-01
4-93
ND-01
5-94
TX-25
5-95
MD-01
3-93
TX-21
3-93
TX-38
4-94
IN-06
8-98
AL-06
7-98
IN-03
7-98
IN-08
6-97
KY-02
7-98
LA-06
5-96
TX-14
5-96
WV-01
6-97
CA-05
4-95
SC-07
5-96
GA-10
5-97
FL-19
4-95
CA-20
5-96
MS-04
6-97
IA-04
4-96
OK-03
6-98
FL-08
3-95
KY-04
4-96
OR-02
7-99
ID-01
6-98
MO-04
3-95
CA-23
4-96
TX-17
5-97
AZ-09
5-97
MS-03
6-98
TN-03
5-97
IN-02
6-98
GA-07
3-96
TN-04
4-97
IN-09
4-97
MI-02
4-97
WI-07
2-95
OH-02
4-97
OH-04
4-97
TX-36
4-97
AL-04
1-94
NC-10
2-95
TX-26
4-97
KY-05
5-98
SC-04
2-96
TX-06
2-96
TX-01
4-97
AR-01
4-97
SC-03
5-98
MO-03
3-97
PA-13
4-98
GA-09
2-96
KS-04
2-96
TX-19
1-95
MI-09
3-97
TX-11
3-97
VA-09
2-96
MS-01
2-96
AR-04
3-97
OH-06
4-98
TN-06
3-97
AL-03
3-97
MO-08
3-98
TX-05
3-98
GA-08
3-98
IL-15
3-98
TN-01
3-98
FL-06
3-98
PA-15
2-97
TX-13
2-97
MO-07
5-100
WI-05
3-98
TX-08
3-98
UT-04
2-97
MN-07
2-98
OH-12
2-97
PA-14
2-98
AL-05
2-98
SD-01
2-98
LA-05
2-98
NJ-04
2-98
PA-09
2-98
LA-01
2-98
MT-02
2-98
GA-03
2-98
KY-01
2-98
LA-03
2-98
TN-02
2-98
AL-01
2-98
OK-02
1-98
FL-01
2-99
PA-11
2-99
WV-02
1-98
NE-03
0-98