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Powered by KalshiAlaska Senate primary: Dan J. Sullivan vote percent (1st Round)·At least 1%·84%(+72%)FL-02 Republican primary: Keith Gross vote percent·At least 35%·13%(-61%)New Hampshire State Senate winner?·Democratic party·97%(+58%)New Jersey Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 21+ pts·99.9%(+52.9%)WY-AL Republican nominee?·Kevin Christensen·3%(-48%)When will AOC announce her presidential candidacy?·Before Jul 1, 2027·44%(-43%)Will Wyoming vote to exempt 50% of primary-home assessed value?·Will Initiative 1 pass?·35%(-41%)Which ballot measures will pass in Oklahoma?·State Question 845·76%(+37%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 30·25%(-35%)FL-07 Republican nominee?·Cory Mills·8%(-34%)Michigan Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 1+ pts·72%(+34%)Which ballot measures will pass in Colorado?·Initiative #175·12%(-32%)Will Steve Witkoff visit Russia?·Before Oct 1, 2026·62%(+32%)Michigan's 7th District margin of victory·Democrats, 4+ pts·35%(-30%)Which ballot measures will pass in Alabama?·Amendment 3·83%(+30%)

Maine election odds — Senate, House, and governor race predictions

U.S. Midterms 2026

Senate, House, and governor races

426 races
227Dem
7 tossup
435 districts· 218 to control
Rep201
194
24
9
7
13
44
144

Odds breakdown — scroll for more →

highlighted = projected flip

Safe D (186)
MI-04
93-66
MI-13
99-62
CA-26
5
NJ-03
96-36
NE-02
91-27
NY-22
94-29
CA-45
96-22
IN-01
90-15
NV-04
90-11
CA-48
91-10
NM-02
92-11
NV-01
91-9
MI-03
91-9
MN-02
95-13
CA-21
92-9
CA-25
91-9
MD-06
93-10
NM-03
93-10
IL-01
91-7
IL-08
94-10
MI-08
94-10
CA-08
91-6
KS-03
93-7
FL-23
94-9
IL-11
93-7
PA-17
92-6
CA-27
94-7
NY-18
95-8
OR-01
91-4
NH-02
96-8
OH-13
95-8
MI-11
94-6
MD-05
92-5
MD-02
95-8
TX-07
95-7
CA-39
92-5
CA-36
93-5
GA-06
92-5
MA-06
94-6
MI-06
92-4
CO-02
96-8
NY-16
91-3
PA-04
94-6
IL-14
94-6
MN-04
94-6
OH-11
95-6
AZ-04
94-6
KY-03
94-6
MD-04
92-3
CA-38
94-5
NJ-12
96-7
NY-20
95-6
CA-16
94-5
NY-09
92-3
CA-09
93-3
IL-13
97-7
CA-03
95-5
CA-15
95-5
CA-30
95-5
CA-33
94-4
IL-09
95-5
MS-02
97-7
PA-06
91-1
NM-01
95-5
CA-41
94-3
NC-12
95-5
UT-01
97-6
AZ-07
95-5
WA-08
94-4
SC-06
97-6
CO-01
96-5
CO-07
97-6
CT-02
96-5
VA-07
96-5
CT-01
94-3
WI-02
95-4
VA-03
95-4
AL-07
96-5
CA-47
94-3
CA-50
95-3
RI-02
96-4
TX-29
96-4
GA-02
96-4
NY-05
97-6
CO-06
96-5
AZ-03
93-1
TX-20
96-4
FL-20
96-4
PA-12
96-4
FL-10
95-3
GA-13
96-4
IN-07
97-4
MD-07
96-4
NY-08
96-4
ME-01
96-3
MI-12
98-5
WA-01
96-3
VA-10
97-4
WA-09
95-2
CA-01
97-4
GA-04
98-5
IL-04
97-4
NJ-11
97-4
MD-03
98-5
PA-05
97-3
MN-05
99-5
NY-26
98-5
CA-31
96-3
IL-02
97-4
MA-08
97-4
IL-17
96-2
CA-28
97-3
FL-24
97-3
MA-04
98-4
MA-09
98-4
NY-25
96-3
WA-07
98-4
TX-16
98-4
CA-10
96-2
CA-13
98-4
MD-08
97-3
OR-04
97-3
VT-01
97-3
WA-06
97-4
NY-06
98-5
NY-15
97-3
DE-01
97-3
NC-02
97-3
CA-18
98-4
HI-01
97-3
IL-05
97-3
NJ-08
96-2
NJ-10
98-4
NY-13
98-4
OR-06
97-3
TX-37
97-3
VA-04
97-3
CA-35
98-3
CA-43
97-3
IL-10
97-3
CA-24
98-3
CA-42
98-4
NJ-06
97-2
OR-03
97-3
RI-01
97-3
CA-51
98-3
IL-03
98-3
NY-12
99-4
CA-32
97-3
NJ-01
97-2
CA-02
97-3
CA-17
99-4
CT-03
96-2
MA-02
98-3
OH-03
99-4
NC-04
99-4
VA-08
97-2
NY-10
99-4
WA-02
99-4
TX-30
97-2
MO-01
99-4
HI-02
97-2
MA-01
98-2
CA-49
97-1
CT-04
99-4
CA-19
97-1
LA-02
99-3
PA-02
99-3
TX-33
99-3
VA-11
99-2
WI-04
98-2
CA-44
97-1
MA-03
98-1
CA-06
98-1
MA-05
97-0
WA-10
98-1
IL-06
98-1
TX-18
99-2
IL-07
98-0
NY-07
98-1
GA-05
99-1
NJ-05
100-2
NY-14
99-1
MN-03
99-1
MA-07
99-0
PA-03
99-0
Likely D (24)
IA-03
80-34
OH-09
84-32
OH-07
78-24
AZ-06
85-27
IA-01
77-18
VA-02
82-23
NY-03
86-26
PA-10
83-21
NJ-09
89-26
TX-28
86-22
PA-07
84-19
CO-08
78-10
WA-03
85-14
NJ-07
88-16
NV-03
87-14
NH-01
89-16
OH-01
89-16
CA-52
79-5
CA-22
89-15
NY-19
89-14
CT-05
78-3
CA-46
87-9
NY-04
85-6
OR-05
89-9
Lean D (9)
NC-11
62-43
PA-08
60-41
NY-17
67-43
FL-14
62-36
MI-07
66-31
TX-34
71-32
WI-03
70-31
FL-25
69-28
AZ-01
65-22
Tossup (7)
TX-35
54-50
VA-01
57-53
TX-15
54-47
IA-02
45-56
NC-01
55-41
PA-01
43-58
CO-03
15-48
Lean R (13)
MI-10
61-65
MT-01
45-60
ME-02
39-65
FL-22
34-64
TX-23
37-68
FL-07
35-69
CO-04
34-70
NV-02
22-61
FL-13
24-65
FL-09
28-70
AZ-02
28-71
MN-01
29-73
WI-01
27-71
Likely R (44)
AL-02
26-76
NY-21
26-76
SC-01
25-75
CO-05
26-77
NY-01
26-79
NC-09
25-78
KY-06
21-79
MO-02
21-81
TX-32
21-81
TX-09
20-82
WA-05
18-80
FL-16
17-80
FL-27
19-83
FL-04
16-84
FL-11
14-84
OH-15
17-87
TN-09
17-87
VA-05
15-85
FL-12
13-85
MN-08
15-87
MO-05
15-87
NC-07
14-86
AZ-05
14-87
AZ-08
12-85
MD-01
13-86
NE-01
13-86
AR-02
14-88
GA-12
13-87
MI-01
13-87
OH-10
14-88
AK-01
11-86
NC-13
11-86
TX-24
13-88
WI-08
12-87
FL-15
11-87
GA-01
12-88
NC-06
11-87
NJ-02
11-89
NY-02
11-89
OH-08
11-89
PA-16
11-89
MS-01
6-84
NC-03
9-88
WI-06
9-89
Safe R (143)
TN-06
94-96
IN-05
23-90
AR-03
20-96
NC-14
13-91
TX-31
12-90
FL-26
11-90
KS-02
12-91
TX-22
12-91
TX-10
12-92
SC-02
10-90
TN-05
10-90
FL-28
11-91
FL-21
10-91
TX-02
11-92
TN-08
10-90
NY-23
9-91
KS-04
11-93
OK-01
9-91
NC-08
9-91
FL-18
8-90
CA-23
10-92
FL-19
8-91
CA-05
9-91
TX-27
10-92
VA-06
9-91
TX-25
10-92
IL-16
9-92
TX-05
9-92
OH-12
9-92
MO-04
10-93
TX-12
9-92
IN-04
9-92
IA-04
10-93
WI-05
9-92
MN-06
8-91
TX-17
9-92
MI-05
10-93
IN-02
8-92
NC-10
8-91
SC-07
10-93
OH-05
9-93
PA-11
8-92
OK-05
13-97
FL-02
10-93
GA-08
9-93
GA-07
8-92
TX-21
10-94
NY-24
6-91
TX-36
8-93
AL-05
9-94
LA-06
8-93
TX-03
9-94
WI-07
8-92
FL-08
9-94
FL-05
8-93
LA-05
10-95
FL-06
6-92
TN-07
7-93
GA-10
7-92
FL-03
7-93
GA-11
8-94
PA-15
8-94
AZ-09
5-91
SC-05
7-93
IN-09
7-93
IL-12
9-95
MO-03
8-94
OH-06
6-93
TX-11
8-95
KY-04
6-93
IN-06
8-95
OH-14
7-94
TX-38
9-96
UT-03
8-95
PA-14
8-95
FL-01
5-92
KS-01
6-94
TN-04
7-95
ID-02
6-94
TX-04
6-94
GA-03
6-94
NY-11
6-94
UT-04
7-96
WV-01
6-95
PA-09
6-94
MT-02
6-95
OH-04
6-95
NC-05
1-90
MI-09
7-95
TX-14
5-94
OH-02
3-92
TX-06
6-95
WA-04
4-93
KY-02
6-95
IL-15
5-94
SC-04
4-93
GA-14
6-96
AR-04
4-94
SD-01
5-95
VA-09
7-97
PA-13
5-96
AL-04
6-97
NJ-04
5-95
KY-01
6-97
UT-02
5-96
TX-13
5-96
LA-04
4-95
GA-09
4-96
TX-08
4-95
CA-20
5-96
IN-08
5-96
LA-01
5-96
TN-03
4-96
TX-26
0-92
LA-03
5-97
MI-02
3-95
MN-07
4-96
OK-02
4-96
FL-17
5-97
OK-04
4-96
ID-01
4-96
AL-06
3-96
WV-02
3-96
IN-03
4-97
OR-02
4-97
TN-02
4-97
OK-03
5-98
TX-19
2-95
AL-03
3-97
AL-01
3-96
SC-03
5-98
ND-01
2-96
TN-01
3-97
MO-07
5-98
KY-05
4-98
MS-03
2-96
WY-01
2-96
MS-04
3-97
MO-08
3-98
MO-06
3-97
AR-01
3-97
TX-01
2-98
NE-03
3-99