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Maine election odds — Senate, House, and governor race predictions

U.S. Midterms 2026

Senate, House, and governor races

426 races
231Dem
4 tossup
435 districts· 218 to control
Rep200
205
15
11
4
16
32
152

Odds breakdown — scroll for more →

highlighted = projected flip

Safe D (197)
NJ-07
91-12
WA-03
90-11
CA-48
91-11
CA-22
93-11
NY-04
91-8
NV-03
91-7
NE-02
93-9
NY-25
95-10
IL-14
93-8
IL-13
93-8
MI-08
94-8
OR-04
95-9
MA-09
94-7
IL-03
92-5
CA-45
94-6
MA-06
93-5
HI-01
96-8
IL-08
95-7
NH-02
93-5
MA-01
94-6
WA-10
94-6
MD-05
92-4
CT-03
94-6
PA-04
92-4
UT-01
94-6
VA-08
95-6
CA-50
93-4
VA-03
94-6
HI-02
93-5
TX-20
93-4
CA-33
95-6
NH-01
96-7
CA-42
96-7
MA-04
91-2
MN-02
94-5
NY-26
95-6
TX-16
92-3
CA-01
96-7
MI-03
96-7
PA-06
94-4
MD-07
95-6
NJ-05
94-4
NY-08
95-5
CA-31
95-5
CO-07
96-6
IL-06
95-5
NC-12
94-4
OR-03
95-6
CA-43
97-7
VA-07
96-6
NJ-06
92-2
NV-04
97-7
NM-02
95-5
MD-04
93-3
NY-18
94-4
CA-36
94-4
OR-01
96-5
CA-30
96-6
CA-47
95-4
MN-04
96-5
MA-08
95-5
VA-10
96-5
CA-21
96-5
GA-02
96-5
CA-39
95-4
CA-41
93-2
IL-02
95-4
MO-01
97-6
MD-02
95-4
IL-07
96-4
GA-06
98-6
CA-16
95-4
CA-44
94-3
KY-03
95-3
OH-11
96-4
OH-13
97-6
CA-18
95-3
CT-01
97-5
NY-12
96-4
VT-01
95-3
NM-03
95-4
NC-04
97-6
RI-02
96-4
MA-05
96-4
TX-29
94-2
MD-03
97-5
IL-10
96-4
PA-17
94-2
KS-03
97-4
NY-22
96-4
PA-02
97-4
CA-27
95-3
NY-20
97-5
PA-12
97-5
CO-02
99-6
MO-05
97-4
NY-14
97-4
VA-04
96-3
FL-23
96-3
NJ-09
97-4
CA-24
97-4
NJ-11
94-1
NY-19
97-4
NY-06
94-1
TX-30
97-4
CA-06
93-1
CA-28
98-5
WA-01
95-2
IL-09
95-2
CA-13
96-3
TX-07
97-4
CA-52
98-5
NY-05
96-3
CT-04
99-6
MI-06
98-5
NM-01
94-0
NY-09
98-5
AL-07
97-3
NY-13
98-5
AZ-03
97-3
CA-32
99-5
IN-07
98-4
NV-01
96-3
MS-02
98-4
IL-04
97-4
MD-06
97-3
MA-02
94-0
MI-11
98-4
OH-03
99-5
CA-35
95-1
AZ-07
96-2
CA-49
96-2
NJ-12
96-2
NY-10
97-3
WA-02
97-3
CA-10
96-2
MA-03
97-3
NJ-01
97-3
CA-25
98-4
MI-12
96-2
MN-03
99-5
RI-01
99-5
SC-06
97-3
WA-08
96-1
WA-09
96-2
FL-20
98-3
OR-06
96-2
ME-01
98-3
NC-02
97-2
CA-17
99-4
CO-01
98-3
CT-02
99-4
TX-18
97-2
GA-13
99-4
IL-17
98-2
IL-11
97-1
MN-05
98-3
MD-08
100-4
NJ-03
98-3
CA-46
98-2
FL-24
99-3
CA-19
98-2
CA-26
98-2
CT-05
97-1
CA-03
96-0
IL-05
99-3
OR-05
97-1
PA-05
99-3
WA-07
98-2
WI-02
96-0
CA-15
97-1
IL-01
98-3
TX-37
99-3
CA-09
98-2
TX-33
99-3
WI-04
98-2
GA-05
100-4
MI-13
96-0
NJ-10
100-4
DE-01
100-3
GA-04
99-3
NY-07
98-2
WA-06
98-2
FL-10
98-2
CA-51
98-2
IN-01
97-1
VA-11
99-2
AZ-04
98-1
CA-38
99-2
NJ-08
98-1
NY-15
99-2
CA-08
100-2
CO-06
99-1
MA-07
99-1
PA-03
100-2
CA-02
99-1
LA-02
98-0
Likely D (15)
IA-03
77-23
AZ-01
80-21
PA-10
80-21
OH-07
81-20
TX-15
83-17
VA-02
83-17
AZ-06
83-16
NY-16
76-8
TX-34
85-16
CO-08
86-16
IA-01
85-15
OH-01
84-14
PA-07
87-15
NY-03
89-14
TX-28
89-11
Lean D (11)
MI-07
60-41
NY-17
61-39
TX-35
62-40
NC-01
63-38
MI-10
66-35
FL-14
67-35
NC-11
70-31
OH-09
70-31
PA-08
71-31
WI-03
72-26
FL-25
74-26
Tossup (4)
VA-01
52-50
MI-04
47-54
FL-22
54-46
IA-02
56-44
Lean R (16)
PA-01
38-63
TX-23
36-64
FL-27
36-65
ME-02
35-64
WI-01
35-67
FL-07
34-67
MT-01
34-69
CO-04
32-68
AZ-02
30-71
SC-01
30-71
CO-03
29-71
FL-09
29-71
KY-06
30-72
FL-13
27-72
NV-02
26-73
AL-02
26-74
Likely R (32)
MO-02
26-75
CO-05
26-77
OH-15
25-77
VA-05
22-78
MN-01
22-79
TX-09
20-81
NJ-02
20-82
NY-21
19-82
NY-01
18-82
NC-03
18-82
NC-09
20-84
NE-01
17-82
FL-16
18-84
IN-05
18-84
AR-02
17-84
WA-05
16-83
NC-07
16-84
NC-13
17-86
FL-04
16-86
FL-12
16-87
NC-05
14-85
OH-10
15-86
NY-02
16-88
AZ-08
14-87
WI-08
14-88
MN-08
14-89
TN-09
13-88
FL-11
13-89
NC-14
12-89
TX-31
10-89
GA-12
10-89
AK-01
4-85
Safe R (151)
UT-04
39-93
KS-02
15-91
SC-02
13-90
OK-05
13-90
FL-26
12-90
TX-10
9-90
AZ-05
9-90
TX-32
10-91
MD-01
10-91
NC-06
10-91
MI-01
10-92
MI-05
10-92
TX-04
9-92
FL-15
8-91
NY-11
8-90
TX-22
10-93
AL-05
9-91
OR-02
8-92
GA-01
10-93
TN-02
7-90
TN-05
8-91
OH-14
8-92
VA-06
9-93
LA-06
8-93
TX-27
10-94
TX-17
6-91
GA-07
8-93
OH-08
7-92
SC-05
8-93
WI-06
7-92
TX-24
8-93
FL-21
6-92
TX-12
10-95
TX-14
7-93
IN-09
8-94
IN-04
7-93
IN-03
6-93
MO-06
7-93
FL-18
7-94
WA-04
7-94
FL-05
5-92
FL-02
7-94
TX-03
8-95
TX-36
8-95
FL-28
6-93
NC-10
8-95
PA-14
6-93
FL-08
8-95
IL-12
8-95
NE-03
6-93
NC-08
4-92
PA-13
6-93
MI-09
7-95
CA-05
7-95
TN-01
8-96
IN-06
7-95
AZ-09
7-95
LA-04
7-95
TX-02
7-95
IL-15
7-95
OH-04
8-97
OK-02
5-94
PA-11
7-96
MN-07
5-94
CA-23
6-95
SD-01
7-96
ID-02
6-95
IA-04
7-96
OH-12
7-96
TX-25
4-93
MO-07
5-94
SC-07
6-95
OK-01
4-93
TN-03
6-96
WI-07
6-95
NY-24
7-96
TX-19
4-94
ID-01
7-97
KY-05
3-93
FL-06
5-95
UT-03
5-95
MO-04
4-94
KY-04
6-96
TX-26
3-94
GA-09
6-96
AR-03
5-95
MS-01
6-96
GA-08
5-95
TX-21
5-95
IN-08
5-96
OH-06
6-96
KS-01
2-93
KS-04
5-96
OH-05
4-95
AL-01
7-98
MN-06
4-95
PA-16
4-95
TX-13
5-96
NJ-04
6-97
NY-23
3-94
MT-02
5-96
FL-19
5-96
IL-16
4-95
TX-38
3-94
TN-04
4-95
WV-01
5-96
TN-07
4-96
AR-01
3-95
VA-09
5-97
FL-01
5-97
SC-03
3-95
GA-03
6-98
MI-02
4-96
WV-02
5-97
IN-02
6-98
MO-03
2-95
TN-08
4-96
FL-03
3-95
FL-17
4-97
TN-06
4-97
TX-08
5-98
GA-11
5-97
TX-11
4-97
UT-02
4-97
MO-08
5-98
OK-04
3-96
PA-09
3-96
SC-04
2-96
TX-05
2-96
KY-01
3-96
GA-14
5-99
PA-15
3-97
AL-06
3-98
MS-03
1-95
ND-01
3-97
TX-01
4-98
WI-05
1-96
AR-04
3-98
KY-02
3-98
GA-10
2-97
TX-06
2-97
LA-01
3-98
OK-03
4-99
LA-05
2-98
WY-01
3-99
LA-03
2-98
MS-04
3-99
AL-04
3-99
CA-20
0-97
AL-03
2-98
OH-02
0-97