Election Odds

South Dakota election odds — 2026 House, Senate, and governor race predictions

2026 U.S. Midterms

1758 markets
28Dem
2 tossup
51 districts
Rep21
11
11
6
5
14
50%chance Democrats win the House
VerylikelyLikelyLeanTossupLeanLikelyVerylikely90%75%55%55%75%90%DR

Odds breakdown — scroll for more →

Safe D (11)
CO
90-7
NM
91-6
NJ
94-6
MD
95-3
NC
95-3
MA
95-2
TN
96-2
RI
96-1
VT
96-1
DE
97-0
HI
97-0
Likely D (11)
WA
76-23
IN
82-17
NE
82-16
OH
83-15
OR
83-14
PA
84-14
NH
86-11
VA
87-10
CT
88-9
IL
88-9
CA
89-9
Lean D (6)
NY
61-38
FL
65-34
IA
65-32
MI
69-30
TX
72-27
AZ
74-24
Tossup (2)
DC
50-50
ME
46-52
Lean R (2)
MT
41-57
AK
29-67
Likely R (5)
NV
23-76
SC
19-80
MN
16-83
MO
15-83
UT
13-87
Safe R (14)
WI
8-91
LA
6-91
OK
6-91
ND
5-92
WV
4-93
WY
3-94
AR
3-94
KS
3-94
SD
3-94
GA
3-95
KY
3-95
ID
1-96
MS
1-96
AL
0-97