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Pete Hegseth portrait

Pete Hegseth

Republican

Live Kalshi election odds for Pete Hegseth. 18 active markets and 17 historical markets tracked.

Top live odds
97%
Before Jan 1, 2029
Active markets
18

Active markets

Cabinet

View all cabinet →
Before Jan 1, 2029
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
97%
Before Jul 1, 2028
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
84%
Pete Hegseth
Who will leave office first: RFK Jr., Hegseth, or Patel?
+27%63%
Before Jan 1, 2028
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
-29%63%
Before Jul 1, 2027
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
+11%55%
Before Oct 1, 2027
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
49%
Before Apr 1, 2027
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
+4%48%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Pete Hegseth departure announced?
-5%25%
Pete Hegseth
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
-1%24%
Pete Hegseth
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
-8%20%
Before Dec 1, 2026
Pete Hegseth departure announced?
19%
Before Dec 1, 2026
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
-1%15%
Before Nov 1, 2026
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
+1%5%
Before Nov 1, 2026
Pete Hegseth departure announced?
3%

Historical markets

Closed contracts with their last retained Kalshi prices. These prices do not verify final results.

17 markets
Pete Hegseth
Who will testify in front of Congress in 2026?
98%
Last recorded
Pete Hegseth
Who will attend Freedom 250?
76%
Last recorded
Before Oct 1, 2026
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
1%
Last recorded
Before Sep 1, 2026
Pete Hegseth departure announced?
1%
Last recorded
Pete Hegseth
Who will speak at the 2026 Republican Midterm Convention?
1%
Last recorded
Before Oct 1, 2026
Pete Hegseth departure announced?
1%
Last recorded
Before Aug 1, 2026
Pete Hegseth departure announced?
0.7%
Last recorded
Before Jul 1, 2026
Pete Hegseth departure announced?
0.5%
Last recorded
Before Sep 1, 2026
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
0.3%
Last recorded
Pete Hegseth
Who will visit Iran before July?
0.2%
Last recorded
Before Aug 1, 2026
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
0.1%
Last recorded
Before Jul 1, 2026
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
0.1%
Last recorded
Pete Hegseth
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
0%
Last recorded
Pete Hegseth
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
0%
Last recorded
Pete Hegseth
Who will officially lead Venezuela on June 1?
0%
Last recorded
Before Jun 1, 2026
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
0%
Last recorded
Before Jun 1, 2026
Pete Hegseth departure announced?
0%
Last recorded
About these markets

How to read Pete Hegseth's odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for a market involving Pete Hegseth. Markets can ask different questions, so compare prices within the same event rather than treating every percentage as one overall candidate rating.

Pete Hegseth odds FAQ

What are Pete Hegseth's current election odds?

Pete Hegseth is at 97% on "Before Jan 1, 2029". ElectionOdds currently tracks 18 active Kalshi markets mentioning Pete Hegseth.

How many prediction markets track Pete Hegseth?

ElectionOdds lists 18 active and 17 historical Kalshi markets mentioning Pete Hegseth.

Where does ElectionOdds get Pete Hegseth's odds?

The percentages are traded prices from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. ElectionOdds displays the market data and does not create its own candidate forecast.

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