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Powered by KalshiMD-01 Republican nominee?·Andy Harris·97%(+96%)MD-02 Democratic nominee?·Johnny Olszewski·97%(+96%)MD-08 Democratic nominee?·Jamie Raskin·97%(+96%)OK-03 Republican nominee?·Frank Lucas·97%(+96%)CA-06 primary: Who will advance?·Kevin Kiley·95%(+94%)CA-13 primary: first place·Adam Gray·92%(+92%)MI-01 Republican nominee?·Jack Bergman·94%(+92%)FL-08 Republican nominee?·Mike Haridopolos·2%(-91%)Maine's 1st District margin of victory·Democrats, 17+ pts·91%(+91%)NY-03 Republican nominee?·Michael J LiPetri Jr·92%(+91%)Arizona's 3rd District margin of victory·Democrats, 39+ pts·1.1%(-90.1%)WI-04 Democratic nominee?·Gwen Moore·92%(+90%)SD-AL House winner?·Republican party·93.7%(+88.7%)New York's 15th District margin of victory·Democrats, 49+ pts·2%(-88.2%)Massachusetts's 6th District margin of victory·Democrats, 16+ pts·1.1%(-87.9%)
Powered by KalshiMD-01 Republican nominee?·Andy Harris·97%(+96%)MD-02 Democratic nominee?·Johnny Olszewski·97%(+96%)MD-08 Democratic nominee?·Jamie Raskin·97%(+96%)OK-03 Republican nominee?·Frank Lucas·97%(+96%)CA-06 primary: Who will advance?·Kevin Kiley·95%(+94%)CA-13 primary: first place·Adam Gray·92%(+92%)MI-01 Republican nominee?·Jack Bergman·94%(+92%)FL-08 Republican nominee?·Mike Haridopolos·2%(-91%)Maine's 1st District margin of victory·Democrats, 17+ pts·91%(+91%)NY-03 Republican nominee?·Michael J LiPetri Jr·92%(+91%)Arizona's 3rd District margin of victory·Democrats, 39+ pts·1.1%(-90.1%)WI-04 Democratic nominee?·Gwen Moore·92%(+90%)SD-AL House winner?·Republican party·93.7%(+88.7%)New York's 15th District margin of victory·Democrats, 49+ pts·2%(-88.2%)Massachusetts's 6th District margin of victory·Democrats, 16+ pts·1.1%(-87.9%)
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Pete Hegseth

Republican

Live prediction market odds for Pete Hegseth. 15 markets tracked.

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Pete Hegseth
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Pete Hegseth
Who will Trump pardon?
41%
Pete Hegseth
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
16%
Pete Hegseth
2028 Republican presidential nominee
-0.1% 0.2%

Cabinet

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Pete Hegseth
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
+2% 31%
Before Sep 1, 2026
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
+1% 21%
Before Aug 1, 2026
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
13%
Before Aug 1, 2026
Pete Hegseth departure announced?
+1% 12%
Pete Hegseth
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
11%
Before Jul 1, 2026
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
+0.2% 5.7%
Before Jul 1, 2026
Pete Hegseth departure announced?
4.5%
Before Jun 1, 2026
Pete Hegseth departure announced?
+0.1% 1.3%
Before Jun 1, 2026
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
-0.1% 1.2%

International

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Pete Hegseth
Who will visit Iran before July?
1.6%
Pete Hegseth
Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
+0.1% 1.4%
Pete Hegseth
Who will officially lead Venezuela on June 1?
0%
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