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Powered by KalshiAlaska Governor winner? (Person)·Dave Bronson·97.3%(+91.7%)Will Trump do anything this week? (7/5-7/11)·At least 3·12%(-52%)MO-05 Republican nominee?·Taylor Burks·19%(-47%)Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·29%(-41%)When will Brian Johnson be confirmed as CFPB Director?·Before Aug 1, 2026·4%(-40%)Trump's approval rating on Jul 10, 2026?·40.8 to 41.0·61%(+33%)Will Trump order tariffs in Jul 2026?·Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in Jul 2026?·36%(-33%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/6 - 7/12)·Above 150·32%(-31%)Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?·Before Sep 1, 2026·85%(+31%)TN-05 Republican nominee?·Charlie Hatcher·48%(+30%)How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?·Above 70·60%(+28%)New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory?·John Sununu, ≥30%·58%(+28%)South Carolina Senate winner? (2028)·Democratic party·16%(-27%)Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/3-7/10)?·Above 5.6%·96%(+26%)FL-02 Republican nominee?·Luke Murphy·24%(+23%)
Powered by KalshiAlaska Governor winner? (Person)·Dave Bronson·97.3%(+91.7%)Will Trump do anything this week? (7/5-7/11)·At least 3·12%(-52%)MO-05 Republican nominee?·Taylor Burks·19%(-47%)Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·29%(-41%)When will Brian Johnson be confirmed as CFPB Director?·Before Aug 1, 2026·4%(-40%)Trump's approval rating on Jul 10, 2026?·40.8 to 41.0·61%(+33%)Will Trump order tariffs in Jul 2026?·Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in Jul 2026?·36%(-33%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/6 - 7/12)·Above 150·32%(-31%)Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?·Before Sep 1, 2026·85%(+31%)TN-05 Republican nominee?·Charlie Hatcher·48%(+30%)How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?·Above 70·60%(+28%)New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory?·John Sununu, ≥30%·58%(+28%)South Carolina Senate winner? (2028)·Democratic party·16%(-27%)Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/3-7/10)?·Above 5.6%·96%(+26%)FL-02 Republican nominee?·Luke Murphy·24%(+23%)
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Pete Hegseth

Republican

Kalshi odds for Pete Hegseth. 9 markets tracked.

Top odds
43%
Pete Hegseth
Markets
9
Categories
PresidentialCabinetInternational

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Presidential

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Pete Hegseth
Who will Trump pardon?
43%
Pete Hegseth
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
14%
Pete Hegseth
2028 Republican presidential nominee
-0.1%0.3%

Cabinet

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Pete Hegseth
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
22%
Pete Hegseth
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
-3%10%
Before Sep 1, 2026
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
+1%9.7%
Before Aug 1, 2026
Pete Hegseth departure announced?
4%
Before Aug 1, 2026
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
+0.1%3.2%

International

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Pete Hegseth
Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
1.3%
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