All markets

Every active prediction market, grouped by category

1175 events

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

45 options

24%
+0.4%

2028 Republican presidential nominee

35 options

37%
+1.4%

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

25 options

19%
+1%

Donald Trump out as President?

4 options

40%

When will Trump visit China?

5 options

76%
+8%

Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?

1 option

23%

2028 Democratic VP nominee

45 options

9.3%
-0.5%

Who will Trump pardon in 2026?

30 options

38%
+16%

When will JD Vance visit Pakistan?

5 options

21%
-10%

Who will be arrested before 2027?

24 options

51%
+5%

Who will visit the White House in 2026?

28 options

87%
+30%

Will Trump attend any White House Correspondents Dinner?

1 option

95%
+4%

Will Trump resign during his term?

1 option

17%
-3%

What countries will Trump visit in 2026?

24 options

86%
+4%

2028 Republican VP nominee

21 options

26%
+0.9%

2028 Republican Presidential ticket

25 options

18%
-5.6%

Who will Trump pardon?

49 options

61%
-8%

2028 Presidential matchup

16 options

15%
+1%

How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?

6 options

90.1%
-3%

Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

29 options

80%
-3%

2028 Democratic Presidential ticket

25 options

4%

Will the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?

1 option

30%

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

35 options

87%
-3%

2026: Trump's bad year?

1 option

15%
+1%

Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?

16 options

93%
+5%

2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party)

2 options

62%
+1%

Will President Trump be impeached during his term?

1 option

70%
-1%

2026: Trump's dream year?

1 option

6.5%
+0.3%

2028 Presidential race: exact outcome

32 options

10%
+1%

Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?

10 options

28%
+2%

How high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?

8 options

27%
+1%

Will Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before 2045?

1 option

7.4%

Who will visit Mar-a-Lago in 2026?

10 options

28%
-1%

Will Trump pardon any members of his family?

1 option

71%

Will the 2026 Pro Football champs visit the White House?

1 option

56%

Will Elon Musk support the Democrats in 2028?

1 option

7%

Will Nick Fuentes become President of the United States before 2045?

1 option

11%
+1%

Will Trump run for a third term?

3 options

22%
+1%

2028 Green Presidential nominee

6 options

23%

Will Trump go on SNL during his second term?

1 option

15%

Who will receive the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2026?

9 options

46%
+3%

Will a Trump family member be the 2028 Republican presidential nominee?

1 option

12%

Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term?

1 option

10%

Will the America Party contest the 2028 U.S. presidential election?

1 option

17%

Will it be reported that Joe Biden used Ambien before the 2024 presidential debate?

1 option

5.9%

How much will US democracy weaken under Trump?

4 options

83%
+2%

Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention?

5 options

23%

Will the NPVIC reach 270 electoral votes?

4 options

17%
+1%

Which state will be scheduled first in the 2028 Democratic primary?

12 options

44%

Will Joe Manchin run for president in 2028?

1 option

25%

When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?

4 options

74%
+1%

How many people will Trump pardon in 2026?

5 options

24%
+1%

Will the 2028 presidential election occur?

1 option

92.9%
+2.7%

2028 Libertarian Presidential nominee

11 options

12%

When will Marco Rubio announce his presidential candidacy?

4 options

57%
+2%

Will Bernie Sanders run for President in 2028?

1 option

9%
+2%

Will Rubio and Vance run for President?

1 option

53%
+1%

When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy?

4 options

68%
+1%

How many ties will J.D. Vance break in 2026?

10 options

23%

Who will attend a White House Press Briefing in 2026?

9 options

61%
+1%

Maine Democratic Senate nominee?

7 options

89%
+0.5%

Texas Republican Senate nominee?

2 options

58%
-4%

Texas Senate winner?

2 options

58%
-2%

Georgia: Which elections will be won outright?

7 options

84%
-1%

Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?

9 options

46%
-4%

Georgia Senate winner?

2 options

82%
-3%

Georgia Republican Senate nominee?

9 options

83%
+8.1%

Ohio Senate winner? (Special)

2 options

56%
-1%

2026 Texas Senate matchup?

2 options

56%
+2%

Alaska Senate winner? (Party)

2 options

59%

Kentucky Republican Senate nominee?

7 options

81%
+2%

Texas Republican Senate Runoff: Margin of Victory

10 options

31%
+2%

North Carolina Senate winner?

2 options

85%
+1%

Maine Senate winner?

2 options

72%
+1%

Nebraska Senate winner?

3 options

69%
+1%

Montana Senate winner?

3 options

74%
+2.3%

Ohio Republican Senate nominee?

15 options

98.5%
-0.1%

Minnesota Senate winner?

2 options

90%
+0.1%

Michigan Senate Democratic primary: 2nd place

3 options

38%
-6%

Idaho Senate winner?

2 options

94.7%
+2.1%

Kansas Senate winner?

2 options

77%
+1%

Alaska Senate winner? (Person)

5 options

57%
-2%

Louisiana Republican Senate primary: margin of victory

12 options

31%
-4%

Iowa Senate winner?

2 options

59%

New Hampshire Senate winner?

2 options

84%

South Carolina Senate winner?

2 options

83%
+1%

Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races?

1 option

66%

Florida Republican Senate nominee?

10 options

93%
+3%

Kansas Democratic Senate nominee?

10 options

17%

Ohio Democratic Senate nominee?

4 options

98.5%

Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee?

10 options

75%
+1%

Texas Senate: Exact outcome

4 options

35%
+4%

Closest Senate race in 2026?

11 options

18%

Michigan Senate winner?

2 options

78%

Kansas Senate winner? (2028)

2 options

72%

Mississippi Senate winner?

2 options

85%

South Carolina Senate winner? (2028)

2 options

80%
-3%

Will Janet Mills drop out of the Maine Senate Democratic primary in Apr 2026?

1 option

5%
+1%

Louisiana Democratic Senate nominee?

3 options

82%

Colorado Senate winner?

2 options

93%

2026 Republican Senate primaries combo

1 option

52%

Louisiana Senate winner?

2 options

91%

Alabama Senate winner?

2 options

93.1%

Kentucky Senate winner?

2 options

90.2%
+0.1%

Maine Senate Exact Outcome

4 options

70%

Florida Senate winner?

2 options

81%

New Mexico Senate winner?

2 options

94.5%

Oregon Senate winner?

2 options

95%

Louisiana Senate primaries: which will be won outright?

2 options

80%

Louisiana Republican Senate primary matchup

6 options

39%

Who will Murkowski endorse in the Alaska Senate race?

1 option

4%

Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?

7 options

20%
+2%

Colorado Republican Senate nominee?

5 options

93.1%

Delaware Republican Senate nominee?

2 options

50%

Florida Democratic Senate nominee?

8 options

88%
+0.1%

Massachusetts Republican Senate nominee?

4 options

85%

Maine Republican Senate nominee?

2 options

92%

Nebraska Democratic Senate nominee?

2 options

96.1%
+2.1%

New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?

6 options

90.1%
+0.1%

New Hampshire Republican Senate nominee?

4 options

87%
+1%

Oklahoma Democratic Senate nominee?

4 options

54%

Virginia Republican Senate nominee?

8 options

45%
+0.5%

Wyoming Republican Senate nominee?

3 options

88%

Alaska State Senate winner?

2 options

85%

Georgia State Senate winner?

2 options

71%

Alaska Senate winner? (2028)

2 options

72%

Alabama Senate winner? (2028)

2 options

91.2%

Arkansas Senate winner?

2 options

94%

Arkansas Senate winner? (2028)

2 options

88%

Colorado Senate winner? (2028)

2 options

87%

Delaware Senate winner?

2 options

96.9%
+1.8%

Florida Senate winner? (2028)

2 options

82%

Georgia Senate winner? (2028)

2 options

65%

Iowa Senate winner? (2028)

2 options

61%

Idaho Senate winner? (2028)

2 options

82%

Illinois Senate winner?

2 options

92.7%
-0.3%

Illinois Senate winner? (2028)

2 options

91%

Louisiana Senate winner? (2028)

2 options

86%

Massachusetts Senate winner?

2 options

95.3%
+0.2%

North Carolina Senate winner? (2028)

2 options

60%

New Hampshire Senate winner? (2028)

2 options

86%

New Jersey Senate winner?

2 options

92.2%
+0.1%

Ohio Senate winner? (2028)

2 options

60%

Oklahoma Senate winner?

2 options

95.6%

Oklahoma Senate winner? (2028)

2 options

86%

Oregon Senate winner? (2028)

2 options

89%

Rhode Island Senate winner?

2 options

92.1%

South Dakota Senate winner?

2 options

94.1%

South Dakota Senate winner? (2028)

2 options

91%

Tennessee Senate winner?

2 options

94.1%

Virginia Senate winner?

2 options

91.7%
+0.1%

West Virginia Senate winner?

2 options

94.1%

Wyoming Senate winner?

2 options

91.9%

Which party will win the U.S. House?

2 options

85%

2026 NJ-11 special election margin of victory?

7 options

99.3%
+1.5%

NY-12 Democratic nominee?

20 options

43%
+7%

NJ-11 special election margin of victory? (Higher strikes)

9 options

0%

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

12 options

22%
+3.2%

IN-05 Democratic nominee?

7 options

97.1%
+5.5%

GA-12 Democratic nominee?

1 option

59%
-1%

When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?

5 options

84%
+12%

CA-05 House winner?

2 options

82%
-1%

SC-06 Republican nominee?

2 options

63%
+3%

NJ-03 Republican nominee?

3 options

60%

How many House seats will Democrats win in Virginia?

7 options

70%
+3%

LA-05 Republican nominee?

7 options

63%
+13.6%

Will the House vote on a resolution to expel Cory Mills?

3 options

49%
+16%

How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

11 options

39%

VA-05 House winner?

2 options

82%
-3%

OH-07 Democratic nominee?

8 options

87%
+3%

Swalwell, Gonzales, Mills, and Cherfilus-McCormick out as Representatives?

3 options

67%
-7%

Margin of victory in the KY-04 Republican primary?

10 options

35%
+8.1%

CT-05 House winner?

2 options

89%
-3.8%

MN-01 House winner?

2 options

58%
-4%

NH-02 House winner?

2 options

88%
+3%

AZ-05 House winner?

2 options

82%
-2%

MS-02 House winner?

2 options

91.6%
-0.2%

AL-02 House winner?

2 options

95.1%
+1.7%

TX-38 Republican nominee?

2 options

89%

KY-06 Republican nominee?

5 options

80%
+11%

TX-33 Democratic nominee?

2 options

73%
+1%

OH-15 House winner?

2 options

71%
-2%

AL-07 House winner?

2 options

95.2%
+1.5%

IN-04 Republican nominee?

3 options

92%
+1%

VA-06 House winner?

2 options

77%
+3%

NY-21 House winner?

2 options

67%
+1%

TX-16 Republican nominee?

2 options

86%
+7.6%

NJ-12 Democratic nominee?

13 options

50%
+16%

IA-02 Democratic nominee?

3 options

91%
+8%

Georgia State House winner?

2 options

64%
+8%

NY-17 Democratic nominee?

8 options

49%
-1%

2026 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

10 options

20%
-1%

TX-33 House winner?

2 options

95.5%
-1%

MD-05 Democratic nominee?

24 options

56%
-13%

NC-11 House winner?

2 options

57%
-1%

Will the TX-23 special election be scheduled to a date before the midterms?

1 option

23%
+5%

NY-10 Democratic nominee?

5 options

85%
-1%

TX-05 Democratic nominee?

2 options

80%
+2%

Alaska U.S. House winner? (Person)

5 options

65%
+1%

IN-09 Democratic nominee?

4 options

88%

NJ-06 Democratic nominee?

3 options

84%
-4%

MT-01 Republican nominee?

4 options

91%

SD-AL Democratic nominee?

2 options

87%
+1%

NV-02 Republican nominee?

15 options

53%
-9%

Will Nancy Pelosi resign her office before the midterms?

1 option

12%

How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?

8 options

30%
+1%

NY-08 Democratic nominee?

3 options

93.4%
+0.5%

IN-01 Democratic nominee?

2 options

96%
+0.1%

LA-03 Democratic nominee?

3 options

49%
+1%

NV-02 Democratic nominee?

11 options

49%

TN-05 House winner?

2 options

75%

How many House seats will Democrats win in Texas?

8 options

25%

KY-02 House winner?

2 options

90.8%
+1.3%

NY-12 Democratic primary: 2nd place

4 options

57%
+1%

Will Cory Mills leave the House?

3 options

65%
+1%

AR-02 House winner?

2 options

83%
-1%

KY-02 Democratic nominee?

4 options

62%
+0.6%

TX-35 Republican nominee?

2 options

80%
+2%

FL-07 House winner?

2 options

74%

TN-09 Democratic nominee?

2 options

61%

2026 2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout?

9 options

30%
-0.1%

TX-35 Democratic nominee?

2 options

63%
+1%

NC-06 House winner?

2 options

81%

UT-01 Democratic nominee?

9 options

77%
-1%

UT-03 Republican nominee?

2 options

60%
+2%

TX-30 House winner?

2 options

95.4%

TX-32 House winner?

2 options

78%

IN-07 Republican nominee?

2 options

95.5%

WI-08 House winner?

2 options

78%
+1%

KY-06 Democratic nominee?

7 options

57%

WV-01 Democratic nominee?

2 options

80%
+2%

FL-13 House winner?

2 options

73%

ID-01 Republican nominee?

3 options

92%

IN-02 Democratic nominee?

2 options

93.1%

IN-06 Democratic nominee?

4 options

86%
-0.1%

IN-08 Democratic nominee?

4 options

94%

ME-02 House winner?

2 options

51%
+1%

FL-27 House winner?

2 options

50%

Alaska House winner?

2 options

73%

AZ-01 House winner?

2 options

76%

TX-35 House winner?

2 options

50%

Texas House of Representatives winner

2 options

64%
+1%

TX-23 House winner?

2 options

68%
-1%

Who will be the next new Speaker of the House?

3 options

75%

AZ-02 House winner?

2 options

67%

AZ-06 House winner?

2 options

77%

CA-13 House winner?

2 options

69%
+1%

CA-21 House winner?

2 options

82%

CA-22 House winner?

2 options

65%
+1%

CA-27 House winner?

2 options

90.2%

CA-03 House winner?

2 options

89%
+0.1%

CA-40 House winner?

2 options

74%

CA-41 House winner?

2 options

93.8%

CA-45 House winner?

2 options

83%

CA-47 House winner?

2 options

94.4%

CA-49 House winner?

2 options

92.1%

CA-09 House winner?

2 options

88%

CO-03 House winner?

2 options

69%

CO-08 House winner?

2 options

68%

FL-23 House winner?

2 options

59%

IA-01 House winner?

2 options

65%

IA-03 House winner?

2 options

66%

IL-17 House winner?

2 options

88%

IN-01 House winner?

2 options

82%

MI-10 House winner?

2 options

69%

MI-03 House winner?

2 options

87%

MI-04 House winner?

2 options

69%

MI-07 House winner?

2 options

80%

MI-08 House winner?

2 options

88%

MN-02 House winner?

2 options

87%

MT-01 House winner?

2 options

56%

NC-01 House winner?

2 options

52%

NE-02 House winner?

2 options

82%

NH-01 House winner?

2 options

81%

NJ-05 House winner?

2 options

86%

NJ-07 House winner?

2 options

68%

NJ-09 House winner?

2 options

86%

NM-02 House winner?

2 options

74%

NV-01 House winner?

2 options

85%

NV-03 House winner?

2 options

80%

NV-04 House winner?

2 options

87%

NY-17 House winner?

2 options

64%

NY-18 House winner?

2 options

89%

NY-19 House winner?

2 options

77%

NY-22 House winner?

2 options

84%

NY-03 House winner?

2 options

76%

NY-04 House winner?

2 options

71%

OH-01 House winner?

2 options

74%

OH-13 House winner?

2 options

82%

OH-09 House winner?

2 options

64%

OR-5 House winner?

2 options

83%

PA-01 House winner?

2 options

47%

PA-10 House winner?

2 options

69%

PA-17 House winner?

2 options

84%

PA-07 House winner?

2 options

72%

PA-08 House winner?

2 options

65%

TX-15 House winner?

2 options

50%
+1%

TX-28 House winner?

2 options

70%
+1%

TX-34 House winner?

2 options

61%

VA-01 House winner?

2 options

82%

VA-02 House winner?

2 options

87%
+1%

VA-07 House winner?

2 options

89%

WA-03 House winner?

2 options

76%

WI-01 House winner?

2 options

65%

WI-03 House winner?

2 options

71%

CA-17 winner? (Person)

6 options

72%
-1%

How many House seats will Democrats win in California?

8 options

43%

GA-12 Republican nominee?

2 options

94.5%

IN-07 House winner?

2 options

95.6%

MO-05 House winner?

2 options

65%

AL-01 House winner?

2 options

97%

AL-03 House winner?

2 options

90.8%

AL-04 House winner?

2 options

93.8%

AL-05 House winner?

2 options

85%
+1%

AL-06 House winner?

2 options

92.5%

AR-01 House winner?

2 options

90.5%

AR-03 House winner?

2 options

90%
+1%

AR-04 House winner?

2 options

88%

AZ-03 House winner?

2 options

96.4%

AZ-04 House winner?

2 options

89%

AZ-07 House winner?

2 options

94.4%

AZ-08 House winner?

2 options

78%

AZ-09 House winner?

2 options

82%

CA-01 House winner?

2 options

93.9%

CA-02 House winner?

2 options

95.7%

CA-04 House winner?

2 options

95%

CA-06 House winner?

3 options

89%
+0.6%

CA-07 House winner?

2 options

94.5%

CA-08 House winner?

2 options

94.5%

CA-10 House winner?

2 options

95.2%

CA-11 House winner?

2 options

96.6%

CA-12 House winner?

2 options

96.4%

CA-14 House winner?

2 options

93.3%

CA-15 House winner?

2 options

95.4%

CA-16 House winner?

2 options

95.7%

CA-17 House winner?

2 options

95.7%

CA-18 House winner?

2 options

96.5%

CA-19 House winner?

2 options

96.6%

CA-20 House winner?

2 options

92.3%

CA-23 House winner?

2 options

89%

CA-24 House winner?

2 options

94.5%

CA-25 House winner?

2 options

88%

CA-26 House winner?

2 options

95.3%

CA-28 House winner?

2 options

92%

CA-29 House winner?

2 options

96.5%

CA-30 House winner?

2 options

95.5%

CA-31 House winner?

2 options

96.2%

CA-32 House winner?

2 options

95.7%

CA-33 House winner?

2 options

93.5%

CA-34 House winner?

2 options

96.5%

CA-35 House winner?

2 options

96.2%

CA-36 House winner?

2 options

93%

CA-37 House winner?

2 options

92.7%

CA-38 House winner?

2 options

95.2%

CA-39 House winner?

2 options

92.3%

CA-42 House winner?

2 options

97.3%

CA-43 House winner?

2 options

96.8%

CA-44 House winner?

2 options

96.3%

CA-46 House winner?

2 options

91.5%

CA-48 House winner?

2 options

81%

CA-50 House winner?

2 options

91.8%

CA-51 House winner?

2 options

96.3%

CA-52 House winner?

2 options

96.1%
-0.9%

CO-01 House winner?

2 options

90.9%

CO-02 House winner?

2 options

93.6%
+0.1%

CO-04 House winner?

2 options

65%

CO-05 House winner?

2 options

64%

CO-06 House winner?

2 options

95.4%

CO-07 House winner?

2 options

94.4%

CT-01 House winner?

2 options

96.4%

CT-02 House winner?

2 options

95%

CT-03 House winner?

2 options

95.4%

CT-04 House winner?

2 options

95.3%

DE-AL House winner?

2 options

96.3%

FL-01 House winner?

2 options

88%

FL-02 House winner?

2 options

82%

FL-03 House winner?

2 options

83%

FL-04 House winner?

2 options

83%

FL-05 House winner?

2 options

85%

FL-06 House winner?

2 options

90.5%

FL-08 House winner?

2 options

87%

FL-09 House winner?

2 options

69%

FL-10 House winner?

2 options

87%

FL-11 House winner?

2 options

83%

FL-12 House winner?

2 options

87%

FL-14 House winner?

2 options

69%

FL-15 House winner?

2 options

78%

FL-16 House winner?

2 options

77%

FL-17 House winner?

2 options

82%

FL-18 House winner?

2 options

90.5%

FL-19 House winner?

2 options

87%

FL-20 House winner?

2 options

88%

FL-21 House winner?

2 options

85%

FL-22 House winner?

2 options

73%

FL-24 House winner?

2 options

96.1%

FL-25 House winner?

2 options

68%

FL-26 House winner?

2 options

86%

FL-28 House winner?

2 options

82%

GA-01 House winner?

2 options

83%

GA-02 House winner?

2 options

92.1%

GA-03 House winner?

2 options

87%

GA-04 House winner?

2 options

97.9%

GA-05 House winner?

2 options

96%

GA-06 House winner?

2 options

96.8%

GA-07 House winner?

2 options

79%
+1%

GA-08 House winner?

2 options

95%

GA-09 House winner?

2 options

93%

GA-10 House winner?

2 options

90.5%

GA-11 House winner?

2 options

85%

GA-12 House winner?

2 options

80%

GA-13 House winner?

2 options

95.9%

GA-14 House winner?

2 options

92.5%
+0.1%

HI-01 House winner?

2 options

96.6%

HI-02 House winner?

2 options

93.6%

IA-02 House winner?

2 options

58%

IA-04 House winner?

2 options

90%
-0.1%

ID-01 House winner?

2 options

95%

ID-02 House winner?

2 options

90.5%

IL-01 House winner?

2 options

94.5%

IL-02 House winner?

2 options

97.2%

IL-03 House winner?

2 options

97.2%

IL-04 House winner?

3 options

96.4%

IL-05 House winner?

2 options

97%

IL-06 House winner?

2 options

96.5%

IL-07 House winner?

2 options

96.6%

IL-08 House winner?

2 options

92.2%

IL-09 House winner?

2 options

94.8%

IL-10 House winner?

2 options

94.3%

IL-11 House winner?

2 options

93.3%
+0.1%

IL-12 House winner?

2 options

86%

IL-13 House winner?

2 options

93.5%

IL-14 House winner?

2 options

94.5%

IL-15 House winner?

2 options

90.5%

IL-16 House winner?

2 options

84%

IN-02 House winner?

2 options

88%

IN-03 House winner?

2 options

93.6%

IN-04 House winner?

2 options

90.5%

IN-05 House winner?

2 options

80%
+1%

IN-06 House winner?

2 options

93.5%

IN-08 House winner?

2 options

92.4%

IN-09 House winner?

2 options

89%

KS-01 House winner?

2 options

90.5%

KS-02 House winner?

2 options

85%
-2%

KS-03 House winner?

2 options

88%
+0.1%

KS-04 House winner?

2 options

84%

KY-01 House winner?

2 options

92.5%

KY-03 House winner?

2 options

94.5%

KY-04 House winner?

2 options

92.5%

KY-05 House winner?

2 options

95%

KY-06 House winner?

2 options

73%

LA-01 House winner?

2 options

86%

LA-02 House winner?

2 options

97.5%

LA-03 House winner?

2 options

88%

LA-04 House winner?

2 options

89%

LA-05 House winner?

2 options

93%
-0.1%

LA-06 House winner?

2 options

91.6%

MA-01 House winner?

2 options

95.1%

MA-02 House winner?

2 options

96.8%

MA-03 House winner?

2 options

95%

MA-04 House winner?

2 options

96.4%

MA-05 House winner?

2 options

97.5%

MA-06 House winner?

2 options

94.2%

MA-07 House winner?

2 options

97%

MA-08 House winner?

2 options

96.3%

MA-09 House winner?

2 options

95%

MD-01 House winner?

2 options

74%
-1%

MD-02 House winner?

2 options

92.3%

MD-03 House winner?

2 options

95.1%

MD-04 House winner?

2 options

96.3%

MD-05 House winner?

2 options

95.5%

MD-06 House winner?

2 options

88%
+0.1%

MD-07 House winner?

2 options

96.3%

MD-08 House winner?

2 options

96.9%

ME-01 House winner?

2 options

95.6%

MI-01 House winner?

2 options

82%

MI-02 House winner?

2 options

90.5%

MI-05 House winner?

2 options

90.5%

MI-06 House winner?

2 options

95.2%

MI-09 House winner?

2 options

95%

MI-11 House winner?

2 options

95.5%

MI-12 House winner?

2 options

96.3%

MI-13 House winner?

2 options

96.1%

MN-03 House winner?

2 options

95.9%

MN-04 House winner?

2 options

92.5%

MN-05 House winner?

2 options

91.3%

MN-06 House winner?

2 options

77%

MN-07 House winner?

2 options

84%

MN-08 House winner?

2 options

68%

MO-01 House winner?

2 options

93.4%

MO-02 House winner?

2 options

78%

MO-03 House winner?

2 options

91.5%

MO-04 House winner?

2 options

89%

MO-06 House winner?

2 options

92.2%

MO-07 House winner?

2 options

95.3%

MO-08 House winner?

2 options

96.7%

MS-01 House winner?

2 options

95.6%

MS-03 House winner?

2 options

94%

MS-04 House winner?

2 options

95.5%

MT-02 House winner?

2 options

91.5%

NC-02 House winner?

2 options

94.7%

NC-03 House winner?

2 options

88%

NC-04 House winner?

2 options

96.2%

NC-05 House winner?

2 options

90.1%
+0.1%

NC-07 House winner?

2 options

76%

NC-08 House winner?

2 options

85%

NC-09 House winner?

2 options

78%

NC-10 House winner?

2 options

88%

NC-12 House winner?

2 options

94.3%

NC-13 House winner?

2 options

87%
+0.1%

NC-14 House winner?

2 options

80%

ND-AL House winner?

2 options

87%

NE-01 House winner?

2 options

77%
-2%

NE-03 House winner?

2 options

91.5%

NJ-01 House winner?

2 options

94.9%

NJ-02 House winner?

2 options

74%

NJ-03 House winner?

2 options

89%

NJ-04 House winner?

2 options

92.2%

NJ-06 House winner?

2 options

93.4%

NJ-08 House winner?

2 options

95.2%

NJ-10 House winner?

2 options

96.2%

NJ-11 House winner?

2 options

93.5%

NJ-12 House winner?

2 options

94.1%

NM-01 House winner?

2 options

93%

NM-03 House winner?

2 options

87%

NV-02 House winner?

2 options

76%

NY-01 House winner?

2 options

64%

NY-02 House winner?

2 options

71%

NY-05 House winner?

2 options

91%

NY-06 House winner?

2 options

95.3%

NY-07 House winner?

2 options

96.2%

NY-08 House winner?

2 options

96.4%

NY-09 House winner?

2 options

96.5%

NY-10 House winner?

2 options

96.3%

NY-11 House winner?

2 options

82%

NY-12 House winner?

2 options

96.5%

NY-13 House winner?

2 options

97%

NY-14 House winner?

2 options

95.8%

NY-15 House winner?

2 options

96.9%

NY-16 House winner?

2 options

96.3%

NY-20 House winner?

2 options

96%

NY-23 House winner?

2 options

87%

NY-24 House winner?

2 options

85%

NY-25 House winner?

2 options

96.5%

NY-26 House winner?

2 options

94.9%

OH-02 House winner?

2 options

94.5%

OH-03 House winner?

2 options

96.1%

OH-04 House winner?

2 options

89%

OH-05 House winner?

2 options

84%

OH-06 House winner?

2 options

83%

OH-07 House winner?

2 options

72%

OH-08 House winner?

2 options

88%
+0.1%

OH-10 House winner?

2 options

73%

OH-11 House winner?

2 options

94.5%

OH-12 House winner?

2 options

87%

OH-14 House winner?

2 options

83%

OK-01 House winner?

2 options

84%

OK-02 House winner?

2 options

92.5%

OK-03 House winner?

2 options

92.7%

OK-04 House winner?

2 options

93.2%

OK-05 House winner?

2 options

90.9%
+0.1%

OR-01 House winner?

2 options

96.3%

OR-02 House winner?

2 options

93.5%

OR-03 House winner?

2 options

97.4%

OR-04 House winner?

2 options

94%

OR-06 House winner?

2 options

94.7%

PA-02 House winner?

2 options

97.4%

PA-03 House winner?

2 options

97.5%

PA-04 House winner?

2 options

93.3%

PA-05 House winner?

2 options

93.1%

PA-06 House winner?

2 options

96.3%

PA-09 House winner?

2 options

90.5%

PA-11 House winner?

2 options

90%

PA-12 House winner?

2 options

94.3%

PA-13 House winner?

2 options

92.5%

PA-14 House winner?

2 options

92.5%

PA-15 House winner?

2 options

93%

PA-16 House winner?

2 options

84%

RI-01 House winner?

2 options

95.3%

RI-02 House winner?

2 options

95.7%

SC-01 House winner?

2 options

73%

SC-02 House winner?

2 options

84%

SC-03 House winner?

2 options

95.5%

SC-04 House winner?

2 options

91%

SC-05 House winner?

2 options

92.7%

SC-06 House winner?

2 options

91.3%

SC-07 House winner?

2 options

90%

SD-AL House winner?

2 options

94%
+0.1%

TN-01 House winner?

2 options

94%

TN-02 House winner?

2 options

92.5%

TN-03 House winner?

2 options

94%

TN-04 House winner?

2 options

95.8%

TN-06 House winner?

2 options

92.5%

TN-07 House winner?

2 options

90.5%

TN-08 House winner?

2 options

92.5%

TN-09 House winner?

2 options

96.1%

TX-01 House winner?

2 options

90.9%

TX-02 House winner?

2 options

89%

TX-03 House winner?

2 options

90.7%
-0.2%

TX-04 House winner?

2 options

85%

TX-05 House winner?

2 options

91.5%

TX-06 House winner?

2 options

90.6%

TX-07 House winner?

2 options

94.4%

TX-08 House winner?

2 options

92.1%

TX-10 House winner?

2 options

84%

TX-11 House winner?

2 options

91.5%

TX-12 House winner?

2 options

80%

TX-13 House winner?

2 options

94.1%
+0.1%

TX-14 House winner?

2 options

84%

TX-16 House winner?

2 options

95.6%

TX-17 House winner?

2 options

84%

TX-18 House winner?

2 options

95.5%

TX-19 House winner?

2 options

90.6%

TX-20 House winner?

2 options

92.9%

TX-21 House winner?

2 options

82%

TX-22 House winner?

2 options

87%

TX-24 House winner?

2 options

72%

TX-25 House winner?

2 options

89%

TX-26 House winner?

2 options

87%

TX-27 House winner?

2 options

87%

TX-29 House winner?

2 options

92.7%

TX-31 House winner?

2 options

81%

TX-36 House winner?

2 options

85%

TX-37 House winner?

2 options

94%

TX-38 House winner?

2 options

83%

UT-04 House winner?

2 options

92.5%

VA-03 House winner?

2 options

94.9%

VA-04 House winner?

2 options

94.1%

VA-08 House winner?

2 options

94.5%

VA-09 House winner?

2 options

90.6%

VA-11 House winner?

2 options

95.5%

Vermont House winner?

2 options

96.3%

WA-01 House winner?

2 options

93.8%

WA-02 House winner?

2 options

96.1%

WA-04 House winner?

2 options

84%

WA-05 House winner?

2 options

71%

WA-06 House winner?

2 options

96.4%

WA-07 House winner?

2 options

96.2%

WA-09 House winner?

2 options

94.6%

WA-10 House winner?

2 options

94.7%

WI-02 House winner?

2 options

95.1%

WI-04 House winner?

2 options

96%

WI-05 House winner?

2 options

83%

WI-06 House winner?

2 options

81%

WI-07 House winner?

2 options

83%

WV-01 House winner?

2 options

91%

WV-02 House winner?

2 options

92.5%

WY-AL House winner?

2 options

95.3%

TX-09 House winner?

2 options

64%

UT-01 House winner?

2 options

88%

UT-02 House winner?

2 options

87%

UT-03 House winner?

2 options

86%

VA-10 House winner?

2 options

93%

WA-08 House winner?

2 options

96%

How many people will serve as Speaker of the House in 2026?

3 options

69%

IA-01 Democratic nominee?

2 options

92%

IA-01 Republican nominee?

2 options

95%

IA-04 Democratic nominee?

3 options

84%
+1%

ID-01 Democratic nominee?

2 options

94%

ID-02 Democratic nominee?

2 options

95.7%

ID-02 Republican nominee?

3 options

91.4%

IN-01 Republican nominee?

3 options

97%

IN-03 Republican nominee?

2 options

94.7%

IN-04 Democratic nominee?

9 options

75%

IN-05 Republican nominee?

2 options

98%

IN-06 Republican nominee?

2 options

98.5%

IN-07 Democratic nominee?

4 options

90.9%

KY-01 Republican nominee?

4 options

95%

KY-02 Republican nominee?

3 options

95.1%

KY-03 Republican nominee?

4 options

72%
+2%

KY-04 Democratic nominee?

2 options

89%

KY-05 Republican nominee?

5 options

91.2%

LA-01 Democratic nominee?

2 options

96%

LA-01 Republican nominee?

2 options

92.8%

LA-02 Democratic nominee?

2 options

95.2%

LA-04 Democratic nominee?

2 options

60%

LA-04 Republican nominee?

3 options

95.2%

LA-05 Democratic nominee?

5 options

68%

LA-06 Republican nominee?

4 options

45%

Will Republicans lose the House majority before the midterms?

1 option

14%
-5%

How many House Democrats will lose their primary in 2026?

8 options

19%
+1%

ME-02 Democratic nominee?

5 options

52%
-1%

ME-01 Republican nominee?

2 options

87%

MI-13 Democratic nominee?

5 options

51%

MO-01 Democratic nominee?

2 options

67%

MT-02 Democratic nominee?

3 options

72%

NE-01 Democratic nominee?

2 options

94%

NE-03 Republican nominee?

2 options

94%

NJ-02 Democratic nominee?

4 options

61%
+1%

NJ-04 Democratic nominee?

2 options

88%

NJ-09 Republican nominee?

2 options

51%

NJ-10 Democratic nominee?

2 options

95%

NJ-11 Democratic nominee?

4 options

93%

NM-02 Republican nominee?

2 options

95%

NV-01 Democratic nominee?

4 options

95%

NV-01 Republican nominee?

5 options

94%
+1%

NV-03 Democratic nominee?

4 options

94%

NV-03 Republican nominee?

4 options

96%

NV-04 Republican nominee?

3 options

84%
+1%

NY-15 Democratic nominee?

2 options

86%

NY-04 Republican nominee?

7 options

1.1%

NY-07 Democratic nominee?

9 options

75%
+1%

OH-01 Democratic nominee?

2 options

96%

OH-01 Republican nominee?

4 options

95%
+0.1%

OH-02 Democratic nominee?

2 options

64%

OH-02 Republican nominee?

2 options

95.2%

OH-03 Democratic nominee?

2 options

95.2%

OH-04 Democratic nominee?

2 options

96%

OH-05 Democratic nominee?

4 options

91%

OH-05 Republican nominee?

3 options

95%

OH-06 Democratic nominee?

8 options

87%

OH-06 Republican nominee?

2 options

95.2%

OH-08 Democratic nominee?

3 options

53%

OH-10 Democratic nominee?

6 options

89%

OH-11 Democratic nominee?

5 options

95.2%

OH-12 Democratic nominee?

3 options

86%

OH-13 Republican nominee?

4 options

75%

OH-14 Democratic nominee?

3 options

86%

OH-14 Republican nominee?

2 options

95.2%

OH-15 Democratic nominee?

2 options

89%

OH-15 Republican nominee?

3 options

95.2%

OR-01 Democratic nominee?

2 options

98%
+5.8%

OR-01 Republican nominee?

2 options

63%

OR-02 Democratic nominee?

6 options

45%

OR-02 Republican nominee?

3 options

94.8%

OR-03 Democratic nominee?

3 options

95.7%

OR-04 Democratic nominee?

4 options

92.9%

OR-04 Republican nominee?

2 options

94%

OR-05 Democratic nominee?

2 options

94.7%

OR-05 Republican nominee?

2 options

88%

Pennsylvania State House winner?

2 options

87%

PA-01 Democratic nominee?

2 options

86%

PA-10 Democratic nominee?

2 options

92%

PA-12 Democratic nominee?

2 options

97%

PA-17 Republican nominee?

2 options

92.9%

TX-33 Democratic primary runoff margin of victory?

9 options

20%

Will Don Bacon resign his office before the midterms?

1 option

2%

SC-02 Democratic nominee?

4 options

65%

SC-02 Republican nominee?

3 options

92%

SC-03 Democratic nominee?

2 options

86%

SC-04 Republican nominee?

3 options

93%

SC-05 Democratic nominee?

2 options

91%

SC-06 Democratic nominee?

2 options

96%

SD-AL Republican nominee?

2 options

95%

Alaska State House winner?

2 options

79%

TX-01 Democratic nominee?

2 options

86%

TX-07 Republican nominee?

2 options

93%

TX-09 Republican nominee?

2 options

83%

TX-14 Democratic nominee?

2 options

79%

TX-17 Democratic nominee?

2 options

89%

TX-19 Republican nominee?

2 options

94%
+3.9%

TX-24 Democratic nominee?

2 options

92.1%

TX-30 Republican nominee?

2 options

84%
-2%

TX-32 Republican nominee?

2 options

93.1%

TX-33 Republican nominee?

2 options

96%

TX-37 Republican nominee?

2 options

50%

VA-02 Democratic nominee?

7 options

84%

WV-01 Republican nominee?

2 options

95.2%

WV-02 Democratic nominee?

3 options

69%

California Governor winner?

25 options

43%
+5%

Florida Republican Governor nominee?

9 options

84%
+0.1%

South Carolina Republican Governor nominee?

6 options

37%
+10.7%

Georgia Democratic Governor nominee?

9 options

75%
-2%

Ohio Republican Governor nominee?

6 options

97.6%
+0.5%

Georgia Governor winner?

2 options

60%
-4%

Alaska Governor winner? (Person)

14 options

33%
+12%

California Governor winner? (Party)

2 options

88%
+1%

Nevada Governor winner?

2 options

55%
+3%

Alaska Governor winner? (Party)

2 options

59%
+7%

Oregon Republican Governor nominee?

8 options

67%
+3%

Michigan Republican Governor nominee?

15 options

53%
+6.9%

Minnesota Republican Governor nominee?

8 options

60%
+4%

Georgia Republican Governor nominee?

6 options

65%
+1%

Arizona Republican Governor nominee?

10 options

94%
+1.7%

Vermont Governor winner?

2 options

75%
-1%

Ohio Governor winner?

2 options

54%

Ohio Democratic Governor nominee?

8 options

98.6%

Arizona Governor winner?

2 options

75%

Colorado Republican Governor nominee?

8 options

56%
-3%

Michigan Governor winner?

3 options

61%
+1%

Iowa Governor winner?

2 options

66%
+1%

Wisconsin Governor winner?

2 options

81%

Texas Governor winner?

2 options

82%
+1%

New Mexico Democratic Governor nominee?

4 options

80%
+1%

South Carolina Democratic Governor nominee?

4 options

64%
-5%

Colorado Democratic Governor nominee?

3 options

70%
-2%

Maine Democratic Governor nominee?

11 options

37%
+1%

Michigan Democratic Governor nominee?

9 options

88%
+1%

Minnesota Governor winner?

2 options

89%
-1%

Florida Governor winner?

2 options

68%

Maryland Republican Governor nominee?

9 options

52%
-1%

New Hampshire Governor winner?

2 options

75%
-2%

Rhode Island Governor winner?

3 options

88%
-0.1%

Pennsylvania Governor winner?

2 options

93%

Illinois Governor winner?

2 options

91.3%

Massachusetts Republican Governor nominee?

8 options

52%
+2%

Kansas Republican Governor nominee?

8 options

46%
+3.1%

Maine Republican Governor nominee?

17 options

43%
+1%

New York Republican Governor nominee?

4 options

93%

Vermont Democratic Governor nominee?

7 options

31%
-1%

Pennsylvania Republican Governor nominee?

6 options

92.6%
+0.2%

New York Governor winner?

2 options

90%
-0.1%

Oregon Governor winner?

2 options

82%

Who will hold more governorships after the midterms?

3 options

56%

Alabama Governor winner?

2 options

89%

Who will win the governorship in Arkansas?

2 options

93.1%

Colorado Governor winner?

2 options

90%

Connecticut Governor winner?

2 options

90.3%

Delaware governor winner? (2028)

2 options

89%

Hawaii Governor winner?

2 options

91.1%

Idaho Governor winner?

2 options

92.6%

Indiana Governor winner? (2028)

2 options

89%

Kansas Governor winner?

2 options

61%

Louisiana governor winner? (2027)

2 options

85%

Massachusetts Governor winner?

2 options

90%

Maryland Governor winner?

2 options

91%

Maine Governor winner?

2 options

82%
+1%

Missouri governor winner? (2028)

2 options

90.2%

Mississippi Governor winner? (2027)

2 options

87%
+1%

Montana governor winner? (2028)

2 options

86%

North Carolina governor winner? (2028)

2 options

69%

North Dakota governor winner? (2028)

2 options

88%

New Mexico Governor winner?

2 options

90%

Oklahoma Governor winner?

2 options

90%
+0.1%

South Carolina Governor winner?

2 options

89%

South Dakota Governor winner?

2 options

96%

Tennessee Governor winner?

2 options

89%

Utah governor winner? (2028)

2 options

83%

Vermont Governor Winner? (2028)

2 options

54%

West Virginia governor winner? (2028)

2 options

87%

Wyoming Governor winner?

2 options

92.2%

Connecticut Republican Governor nominee?

3 options

49%
+2%

Florida Democratic Governor nominee?

8 options

78%
-2%

Iowa Democratic Governor nominee?

3 options

97.3%
+0.2%

Kansas Democratic Governor nominee?

4 options

70%
-1%

New Hampshire Democratic Governor nominee?

5 options

77%
+0.1%

Vermont Republican Governor nominee?

5 options

94%

Wisconsin Republican Governor nominee?

7 options

92%

2026 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

4 options

48%
+1%

Blue tsunami in 2026?

1 option

48%
-1%

Ohio State House winner?

2 options

69%
+1%

How many reconciliation bills will be passed in 2026?

3 options

58%
-1%

Blue wave in 2026?

1 option

78%

Will Nancy Mace resign before the midterms?

1 option

11%
-7%

2028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and Senate?

8 options

43%
-3%

Who will testify in front of Congress in 2026?

14 options

91%
-1%

How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026?

8 options

16%
-4%

Will Congress override Trump's veto?

2 options

29%

Will any member of Congress be expelled in 2026?

1 option

27%

Michigan State House winner?

2 options

54%

How many Trump-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?

6 options

9%
+1%

Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?

6 options

19%
-2%

Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race in 2026?

1 option

35%
-1%

Who will run for public office in 2026?

10 options

16%
-2%

When will the Senate vote on the SAVE America Act?

1 option

1%
-0.4%

How many AIPAC-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?

4 options

90%
-21%

Will any America Party candidate be on a federal or gubernatorial ballot before 2027?

1 option

13%

Will a new Constitutional Amendment be added during Trump's term?

1 option

7%

Will Neal Dunn leave Congress before the midterms?

1 option

7.9%

Who will Elon Musk back a primary against in 2026?

5 options

3.5%

Will the Senate overrule the parliamentarian on budget reconciliation in 2026?

1 option

13%

Will anyone else in Congress change parties in 2026?

1 option

13%

Elizabeth MacDonough out as Parliamentarian in 2026?

1 option

16%

Arizona State House winner?

2 options

52%

Iowa State House winner?

2 options

81%

Iowa State Senate winner?

2 options

79%

Maine State House winner?

2 options

85%

Maine State Senate winner?

2 options

84%

Michigan State Senate winner?

2 options

70%

Minnesota State House winner?

2 options

75%

Minnesota State Senate winner?

2 options

77%

North Carolina State House winner?

2 options

76%

North Carolina State Senate winner?

2 options

65%

New Hampshire State House winner?

2 options

59%

New Hampshire State Senate winner?

2 options

65%
+1%

Ohio State Senate winner?

2 options

83%

Wisconsin State Assembly winner?

2 options

62%

Wisconsin State Senate winner?

2 options

70%

Will Trump impose term limits on Congress?

1 option

2.8%

Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?

36 options

12%
-2.2%

Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends?

1 option

3.7%
-2.8%

Will the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump's tariffs in 2026?

1 option

42%

Will US Supreme Court ban transgender girls and women from competing on female sports teams?

1 option

26%
+1%

How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm?

10 options

36%
+3%

Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?

4 options

60%

Will the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage?

1 option

8.1%

Will the SCOTUS hear a case about AI and copyright law before 2027?

1 option

20%

Will the independence of the judiciary be weakened during Trump's term?

1 option

19%

Will the SCOTUS hear a case about flag burning before 2027?

1 option

3.1%

Will the size of the Supreme Court be changed during Trump's Presidency?

1 option

1%

What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term?

5 options

72%

Will any Supreme Court Justice be charged with a federal crime?

1 option

2.1%

Will the Supreme Court uphold transgender sports bans?

1 option

94.4%

Will the Supreme Court let Trump fire FTC Commissioners at will?

1 option

89%

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?

22 options

35%
+7.5%

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

32 options

79%
+4%

Kash Patel out as FBI Director?

4 options

66%
+6%

Tulsi Gabbard out as Director of National Intelligence?

4 options

54%
+6%

Will Kash Patel announce his departure as FBI Director?

4 options

70%
-13%

Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?

22 options

60%
-6%

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor?

9 options

50%
+6%

Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary?

4 options

43%
+1.3%

Who will be Trump's ATF Director?

9 options

98.3%
+3.3%

How many Cabinet members will Trump say he fired in 2026?

6 options

57%
-1.8%

Indiana Secretary of State winner?

2 options

52%
+7%

When will Trump's Labor Secretary pick be confirmed?

5 options

76%
+10%

Will Tulsi Gabbard announce her departure as Director of National Intelligence?

4 options

51%
+8%

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?

8 options

45%
+20%

Will Howard Lutnick announce his departure as Commerce Secretary?

4 options

31%
-2%

When will Trump's Attorney General pick be announced?

7 options

72%
-4%

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?

17 options

46%
-1%

Will a cabinet member be impeached?

4 options

71%
-0.6%

How many Attorneys General will Trump have?

5 options

47%
+1%

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State?

5 options

53%

What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?

10 options

75%
+1%

Frank Bradley out as USSOCOM Commander?

2 options

8.2%
-0.2%

When will Nick Adams be confirmed as Ambassador of Malaysia?

2 options

1.1%

Will Brendan Carr leave as FCC chair before 2027?

1 option

15%

When will Erica Schwartz be confirmed as CDC director?

4 options

77%

Arizona Secretary of State winner?

2 options

81%

Georgia Secretary of State winner?

2 options

52%

Nevada Secretary of State winner?

2 options

78%

Ohio Secretary of State winner?

2 options

76%

Wisconsin Secretary of State winner?

2 options

74%

Virginia redistricting referendum margin of victory?

8 options

94%
+3.6%

How long will the government shutdown last?

14 options

99.9%
+9%

US-Iran nuclear deal?

8 options

78%
+8%

When will DHS be funded again?

7 options

96.8%
-8%

Will proof of citizenship be required for federal voter registration?

2 options

16%
-1%

Will the SAVE Act become law?

1 option

9.7%

Will the Citrini scenario happen?

1 option

25%
+2%

Who will win the Chicago mayoral election?

9 options

46%
+3%

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?

1 option

13%

How long will the next FISA authorization be?

5 options

86%
-8%

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

33 options

65%
+3.9%

How much will the US acquire Greenland for?

8 options

81%
+1%

Which bills will become law in 2026?

17 options

71%
+8%

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?

3 options

49%
-5%

Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?

5 options

45%
-3%

Will Trump release new UFO files before 2027?

1 option

81%
+1%

Will the US acquire any new territory?

4 options

33%
-6%

What will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration?

10 options

46%
+23%

Will credit card rates be capped in 2026?

1 option

11%
-4%

Chicago mayoral election winner? (2027)

7 options

56%

Will Trump establish nationwide concealed carry?

1 option

11%
+4%

What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?

7 options

5%
-1%

Deportations in 2026?

5 options

94.9%
+14%

Jessica Tisch out as NYPD commissioner before 2027?

1 option

51%
+10%

Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?

18 options

81%
-1%

Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends?

1 option

38%

Georgia Republican Secretary of State nominee?

4 options

47%

Los Angeles mayoral election: 2nd place (1st round)

5 options

41%
+1%

Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve before 2027?

1 option

16%

Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?

3 options

65%
+2%

NYC population change in Mamdani's first 18 months?

8 options

45%

When will ICE removal operations be funded again?

4 options

94.5%
+1%

US test scores in Reading in 2026?

3 options

57%
+2%

Wisconsin Supreme Court margin of victory?

9 options

99.2%

Will cannabis banking insurance protections become law in 2026?

1 option

28%
-2%

Comey indictment reinstated on appeal before 2027?

1 option

12%
-3%

Will the House vote to ban members of Congress from trading stocks?

2 options

28%
+1.1%

Will the Massachusetts rent control initiative pass?

1 option

55%
-1%

Will anyone be charged in the Minnesota daycare fraud scandal?

1 option

34%
+5%

Will Mamdani tax billionaires before 2027?

1 option

16%

Will Trump abolish the Department of Education?

1 option

16%

Will Trump add a 51st state to the US?

1 option

5%
+1.4%

Will Mamdani tax luxury second homes?

1 option

81%

Will Mamdani establish universal child care before 2027?

1 option

21%

Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes before 2027?

1 option

17%
-2%

US credit rating downgrade in 2026?

1 option

36%
+4%

Will NYC buses become free before 2027?

1 option

13%

How many government shutdowns in 2026?

4 options

53%

How many bills with Trump veto in 2026?

5 options

82%

How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?

5 options

7.8%
+0.4%

Will Trump recognize Taiwan?

1 option

17%

How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?

6 options

9.3%

Will an AI professional-impersonation bill become law in New York?

1 option

22%

Which ICE reforms will become law in 2026?

6 options

15%
+0.1%

Which cities will the National Guard deploy to in 2026?

5 options

28%
-2%

Will the US Mint finalize a design for the Trump dollar before 2027?

1 option

53%
+3%

Will legislation restricting institutional single-family home investment become law in 2026?

1 option

54%
-1%

US test scores in Math in 2026?

3 options

55%
-2%

Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with China?

1 option

32%
-1%

Will DC come under federal control in 2026?

1 option

6.1%

What will be in the next reconciliation bill?

8 options

83%
+1%

Who will leave California before 2027?

7 options

58%
+1%

Will Trump add himself to Mt. Rushmore?

1 option

12%

Will Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027?

1 option

12%
-4%

Will Mamdani raise property taxes?

1 option

18%

Will Trump restrict SNAP benefits?

1 option

9%

Which sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?

4 options

48%
+1%

Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?

16 options

11%
+0.1%

Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration

3 options

97%

Who will the FTC go after next?

5 options

3.5%

Will Democrats win any statewide election in Texas in 2026? (Blexas)

1 option

45%

Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?

1 option

9%

Courts consider Amazon a monopoly?

1 option

57%

Which agencies will Trump eliminate?

4 options

37%

Will AI regulation become law in 2026?

1 option

21%

Who will win the Attorney General race in New Mexico?

2 options

93.2%
-0.2%

Will Trump cut corporate taxes this year?

1 option

3.2%

Will Trump expand the H1-B program?

1 option

28%

Will Trump create a $250 bill featuring himself?

1 option

4.1%

Will a bill that directly funds HSAs/FSAs become law?

2 options

2%

Will Obamacare be repealed before 2029?

1 option

21%
+1%

Will Anthropic win its lawsuit against the Pentagon?

1 option

62%
-1%

Arkansas Attorney General winner?

2 options

92%

Arizona Attorney General winner?

2 options

68%

Who will win the Attorney General race in Colorado?

2 options

84%

Connecticut Attorney General winner?

2 options

89%

Who will win the Attorney General race in Delaware?

2 options

89%

Who will win the Attorney General race in Florida?

2 options

82%

Georgia Attorney General winner?

2 options

46%

Who will win the Attorney General race in Iowa?

2 options

68%
+1%

Who will win the Attorney General race in Idaho?

2 options

96%

Illinois Attorney General winner?

2 options

89%

Who will win the Attorney General race in Kansas?

2 options

65%
+1%

Massachusetts Attorney General winner?

2 options

91.3%

Who will win the Attorney General race in Maryland?

2 options

95%

Michigan Attorney General winner?

2 options

73%

Minnesota Attorney General winner?

2 options

87%

Who will win the Attorney General race in North Dakota?

2 options

91%

Who will win the Attorney General race in Nebraska?

2 options

88%

Nevada Attorney General winner?

2 options

77%

New York Attorney General winner?

2 options

93%

Ohio Attorney General winner?

2 options

72%

Who will win the Attorney General race in Oklahoma?

2 options

91%

Who will win the Attorney General race in Rhode Island?

2 options

85%

South Carolina Attorney General winner?

2 options

91%

South Dakota Attorney General winner?

2 options

94.3%

Texas Attorney General winner?

2 options

76%

Who will win the Attorney General race in Vermont?

2 options

86%

Wisconsin Attorney General winner?

2 options

81%

Will Trump impose capital controls?

1 option

18%

Will a ballot initiative on California secession qualify for a vote before 2030?

1 option

27%

Will congestion pricing in NYC end before 2027?

1 option

2.3%

When will the DOJ release Data Set 13?

2 options

20%
+2%

Will the Drain the Swamp Act become law?

1 option

2.1%

Will Daylight Saving Time become permanent in 2026?

1 option

9%

Will any court rule that the 2024 election was fraudulent?

1 option

5.2%

How many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?

12 options

12%

Will E-Verify be expanded in 2026?

1 option

30%

Will any court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?

1 option

6.2%
-0.1%

Will Trump make a new free trade agreement?

1 option

42%
+1%

Will Georgia officially switch to permanent daylight saving time?

1 option

9%

Will Trump suspend habeas corpus?

1 option

17%

Will Trump be held liable for January 6th in any court?

1 option

29%

Will the Jones Act be repealed?

1 option

14%

North Carolina Supreme Court winner?

2 options

69%

Will Trump approve a new city on federal land?

1 option

36%

Will the nickel be discontinued?

1 option

2.2%

Will Mamdani establish a Department of Community Safety before 2027?

1 option

32%
+1%

Will New York tax QSBS gains?

1 option

10%

Will a bill curbing pharmaceutical monopolies become law?

1 option

8%

Will permitting reform become law in 2026?

1 option

36%

Will Trump recognize Somaliland?

2 options

60%
-5%

Which abortion-related measures will pass in 2026?

3 options

91.2%

Will the SEC eliminate the quarterly reporting requirement?

3 options

48%

US bans social media for children in 2026?

1 option

8%

Will the ban on supersonic flight over land end before 2028?

1 option

42%

Will Trump invoke the Taft-Hartley Act during his presidency?

1 option

31%

Will new tariffs become law?

2 options

5%

Will the U.S. sovereign wealth fund be operational before 2027?

1 option

22%

Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?

1 option

38%

Which vaccines will the CDC no longer recommend in 2026?

6 options

13%

Keir Starmer Out?

4 options

60%
-7%

Prime Minister of Hungary after the 2026 election?

2 options

99.4%

Who will win the next Philippine presidential election?

5 options

61%
+2%

Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?

36 options

99.1%
-4%

Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?

1 option

16%

Peru presidential election: first round second place?

9 options

90%
+2%

Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?

4 options

27%
+0.2%

Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

18 options

55%
-2%

Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?

20 options

23%
+12%

Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?

1 option

14%
-1%

Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office?

3 options

55%
-1%

Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?

2 options

34%
-1%

Will Kanye West / Ye visit Israel this year?

1 option

35%
+14%

Will anyone win the Colombian presidential election in the first round?

1 option

17%
+11.7%

Will Iran become a democracy in 2026?

1 option

7.2%
-0.6%

Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

17 options

32%
-17%

Peru presidential first round: margin of victory

12 options

79%
+7%

Peru presidential election matchup

15 options

87%
-7%

Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?

11 options

53%
+3%

Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?

1 option

33%
+2%

Who will win the next Mongolian presidential election?

5 options

56%
+3%

Will anyone win outright in the Brazil Presidential election?

1 option

15%

Who will win the 2027 French presidential election?

27 options

24%
+3%

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be pardoned?

2 options

22%
-6%

Who will win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election?

10 options

50%
+7%

How many seats will the SNP win in the Scottish Parliament election?

4 options

91.6%
-7%

Who will be the next new Prime Minister of Israel?

12 options

39%
+4%

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

13 options

33%
+11%

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

13 options

57%
-8%

Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations before 2027?

1 option

7%
-0.4%

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

11 options

29%
-6%

Will Kim Jong-Un visit the US during Trump's term?

1 option

21%
+3%

Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?

3 options

49%
-1%

Who will be named as Xi Jinping's successor?

14 options

22%
-1%

Who will the next Pope be?

7 options

5%
-3%

Who will be Prime Minister of Slovenia after their election?

7 options

76%
+2%

Who will be the Prime Minister of Denmark after their election?

4 options

90.2%
+2%

Will Iran hold a presidential election?

2 options

10%
-2%

Will Andrew Tate's party win a seat in the next UK election?

1 option

1.2%

Which party will win the next UK general election?

8 options

38%
-2%

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan?

4 options

18%
-0.1%

Will Alberta vote to secede from Canada?

1 option

13%
-6%

Will early elections in the UK be announced before 2027?

1 option

9.9%

What countries will hold referenda on leaving the EU?

4 options

2.8%
-4.5%

Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?

13 options

17%
+1%

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

1 option

3.2%
+0.1%

2026 Farrer by-election winner?

8 options

57%
-1%

Will the US take control of any part of Canada?

1 option

12%

Will Elon Musk be charged with a crime in Spain or France?

1 option

11%
-1%

Who will win the next Philippine Senate election?

2 options

57%

New Zealand general election winner?

6 options

48%
-3%

Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Trump's term?

1 option

48%
+4%

Scottish independence referendum called in 2026?

1 option

3.3%

EU loses a member before 2030?

1 option

14%

Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations during Trump's term?

1 option

16%

Will Israel and Syria normalize relations during Trump's term?

1 option

22%

Which of these African leaders will leave office next?

10 options

27%

Will Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor be removed from the royal line of succession?

1 option

65%

Who will win the next Argentine presidential election?

5 options

64%

Who will win the next Australian House election?

4 options

54%

Who will win the next Australian Senate election?

4 options

70%

Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence?

2 options

81%
+2%

Will the Canadian carbon tax be repealed before 2027?

1 option

1.4%

Who will win the next Dominican Republic Chamber of Deputies election?

3 options

78%

Who will win the next Dominican Republic Senate election?

3 options

78%

When will Venezuela hold a presidential election?

4 options

44%
+1%

Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?

6 options

4.5%
-3.5%

Who will win the next Finnish general election?

5 options

70%

Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?

1 option

85%
-1%

Which G7 leader will leave next?

7 options

69%

Who will win the next Georgian parliamentary election?

5 options

76%
-0.1%

Who will win the next Ghanaian parliamentary election?

2 options

57%

Who will win the next Ghanaian presidential election?

6 options

21%

Who will win the next Greek general election?

3 options

70%

Who will win the next Guatemalan Congressional election?

7 options

31%

Who will win the next Italian Chamber of Deputies election?

5 options

56%

Who will win the next Italian Senate election?

5 options

54%

Will Japan lower its food consumption tax in 2026?

1 option

62%

Who will win the next Kenyan National Assembly election?

3 options

48%

Who will win the next Kenyan Senate election?

3 options

55%

Who will win the 2026 Latvia parliamentary election?

9 options

33%

Who will win the 2028 London mayoral election?

8 options

22%

Brigitte Macron wins defamation suit against Candace Owens before 2028?

1 option

60%
+1%

Who will win the next Malaysian general election?

3 options

53%
-4%

Who will win the next Mexican Chamber of deputies election?

6 options

82%

Who will win the next Moldovan presidential election?

7 options

19%

Who will win the next Nigerian Senate election?

3 options

57%

Who will win the next Paraguayan Chamber of Deputies election?

6 options

79%

Who will win the next Paraguayan Senate election?

6 options

74%

Who will win the next Turkish general election?

4 options

73%
-1%

Who will win the next Philippine House election?

5 options

38%

Who will win the next Polish general election?

5 options

48%

Who will win the next Nigerian presidential election?

4 options

48%

Who will win the next Taiwanese presidential election?

3 options

65%

Who will win the first round of the next Turkish presidential election?

3 options

63%

Will a date be announced for another Quebec Referendum before 2029?

1 option

19%

Who will win the next Slovak parliamentary election?

3 options

49%

When will France announce a snap election?

1 option

26%
-1%

Will Spain ban bullfighting before 2027?

1 option

4%

Who will win the next Spanish general election?

4 options

73%
+0.1%

Who will win the next Gambian presidential election?

4 options

66%

Who will Time name as Person of the Decade?

2 options

10%

Who will win the next Turkish presidential election?

10 options

46%
+1%

UK Renewables Obligation scheme changes

3 options

44%